HOW ACCURATE WERE THE POLLS
last week i listed the polls right before the election
today i have added what the election results are so far this morning
the election results are posted right after what the polls estimate was
overall the election went off without problems
people voted in large numbers
more people voted for either presidential candidate than ever before
the votes are still being counted and will be counted for several days
the final certification for all the states will be by early december
more than likely the results below arent going to change much if at all
when you look at the numbers its unlikely that trump can beat biden with what numbers are left to be counted
no there is not wide spread election fraud
so yes biden will win the election
the national numbers were closer than predicted
susan collins in maine did better than expected
so did mitch in kentucky and graham in south carolina and cornyn in texas
in the presidential race they the pollsters missed on north carolina florida and ohio
biden won back the blue wall ie michigan wisconsin and pennsylvania
the control of the senate will be decided by the two georgia senate races in january
if the democrats win both they have control
if the republicans win at least one they will be in control
here are the state by state of those swing states polls for president
biden is listed first then trump
national 52 42 now 50.8 47.5
biden is ahead about 5 million votes in the national vote with that expected to widen as some large states havent finalized their vote calculations
arizona 49 46 now 49.5 49
pennsylvania 50 44 now 49.8 49.1
florida 49 46 now 47.9 51.2
georgia 49 46 now 49.5 49.3
north carolina 51 46 now 48.7 50.1
michigan 51 42 now 50.6 47.9
wisconsin 52 42 now 49.6 48.9
nevada 49 43 now 50.2 47.5
texas 46 48 now 46.4 52.2
ohio 46 46 now 45.2 53.4
iowa 45 47 now 45 53.2
then there were the senate races
arizona 52 46 note its probably closer than that
now 51.2 48.8
colorado 52 44 now 53.4 44.4
texas 45 50 now 45.2 51.8
georgia 47 46
north carolina 48 46 now 47 48.7
maine 48 42 susan collins is probably closer than this
now 42.2 51.1
iowa 48 47 now 45.2 51.8
south carolina 44 46 lindsey graham may make it now 44.2 54.5
kentucky 40 52 mitch will probably be back now 38.2 57.8
in the next elections i plan on taking the polls with a grain of sand
the polls are like a construction estimate
the organicgreen doctor
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