here is a simplified explanation
lets say you have someone with the covid 19 infection
then every 5 days the cases double
here is what it would look like
note i rounded it off some
1
2
4
8
16
32
64
128
256
512
1024
2048
4096
8000
16000
32000
64000
128000
256000
512000
1,000,000+
thats what just happened in italy and china
we should be listening to the folks in italy if we want to know what it could be like
if all of us dont take this real real real real serious
with one case you could in a few weeks end up with
1 million folks infected
thats just one case to start all this now
1%+ will die
that would be 10,000 folks
of those 800,000 will not get bad sick
of those 200,000 will get a lot sicker
for every 1000 folks over 80 who get this 150 of them will die
for every 1000 folks in my age range who get this 80 will die
in italy doctors have been faced with does a 85 year old grandmother get the ventilator or does the 40 year old mother get the ventilator
the 40 year old mother gets the ventilator
the 85 year old grandmother is left to die
those are the decisions that are being made right now in italy
if it gets this bad here our doctors will have to make the same decisions
like
doctors have to make on the battlefields
if you can do anything like isolate yourself wash your hands etc to prevent some of those early numbers above you can greatly alter the exponential curve that you read about
lets all take this serious
real real real real serious
i hope all the predictions are wrong
but i dont think so
we cant afford not to do what we can now to slow this down
no matter what it takes
the organicgreen doctor
We are hunkering down.
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